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Did John say that the Claim Chowder post was a response to the Mac Defender debate? It seems more likely that he found the article by chance and chose to post it rather than waiting.

As for the idea of hindsight and the "How I've spent my career getting it wrong" article, I think there's a very big difference between what the article was talking about and the Windows CE article Ed wrote. The article talks about getting things wrong when a source gives you information and then things change in the time between when you were told the information and when the product is released. What Ed did at the end of the article was speculation not based on information "But let’s come back in a year or two and see just how successful the platform really is."

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